Tehran’s streets are boiling. Massive crowds have poured into the streets. But these are not dissidents opposing the regime. These are the regime’s own supporters. And their anger is not aimed outward, it’s aimed inward. Because the people running Iran did something unforgivable in their eyes. They surrendered.

At least that’s what millions of regime supporters believe. And a regime that said we will never back down for 47 years just backed down with a single tweet. Politicians are turning their backs on each other. The military is branding negotiators as traitors. The Müllers are worried the revolutionary guards have seized the state and the emerging information goes beyond what was feared.
Iran is no longer run by an elected government, but by a three-person committee of IRGC origin. April 17th, Iran’s foreign minister Arachi posted on X. All commercial vessels passage through the Strait of Hormuz has been fully restored and Iran exploded from the inside. The Straight of Hormuz was Iran’s last card. As long as the strait stayed closed, oil prices rose.
Rising prices put pressure on Trump and that pressure gave Iran room at the table and Iraqi burned that card with a single tweet with no deal, no guarantee behind it. Trump’s response made things worse. Sentcom said, “The blockade continues. It doesn’t matter what Iran does.”
That same day, Trump announced, “We’ve secured an agreement that they won’t continue enrichment.”
Whether that sentence was even true no longer mattered. What mattered was that multiple regime figures saw it as either fake or betrayal and went into shock. So Iran gave its card and received nothing in return. The blockade continues. The economy is collapsing. No peace deal exists.
And for millions of regime supporters, this scene had only one name, surrender. From that moment on, Iran fell into a three-way civil war. Now let’s see this from the inside because all three fronts are against each other. On the first front, the IRGC is against the government. The revolutionary guards had been questioning the diplomatic wing from the start.
IRGC linked media accused Arachi of treachery and lack of trust, branding him a JCPOA diplomat, meaning the architect of the 2015 Obama deal. A hardline commentator on state television openly said Iraqi had shown flexibility in negotiations on reducing financial and military support to Hezbollah and since that tweet he has neither spoken nor been seen.
On the second front Müller and parliamentarians are against the leadership. MP Mortez Mahmoodi openly said if not for wartime conditions he would have been forced to resign. He accused him of making untimely statements that repeatedly calmed global oil markets during sensitive periods. The hardline wing in parliament went even further, declaring that the IRGC’s 10 negotiation demands were non-negotiable and that Hezbollah and the Houthis would never be abandoned.
But the Müller’s anger isn’t just aimed at diplomats. It’s also aimed at the IRGC itself. Because as the revolutionary guards effectively seize control of the state, the clerics are losing their historical reason for existence. If an IRGC origin committee can run the country without Müllers, the Theo in theocracy becomes a facade and the Mullers are neither in power nor able to oppose, completely stuck in between.
Former culture minister Ayatollah Muzani read the situation from another angle. If the Supreme National Security Council doesn’t speak up at sensitive moments, we will suffer great damage in the psychological war. The regime’s own former minister was openly saying Iran was losing not just the military war but the propaganda war too.
On the third front, the streets, and they are against everyone. And this is the most dangerous one because the people on the streets are not the regime’s enemies. They are the regime’s own base. For years they believed the slogan, “We will never back down. They sent their sons to the front. They endured sanctions. They accepted all of it as the price of standing against the great Satan. And now they see a retreat by the very people who never paid that price.”
And there is a fourth layer feeding this three-front war. The root of the streets rage is not just surrender. For 6 weeks, the US blockade has been tearing apart Iran’s daily life. Power cuts in Tehran last up to 12 hours a day. Fuel cues stretch for kilome. Food prices have risen over 40%. Medicine shortages are hitting hospitals. Cancer treatments have stopped. Chronic patients have no medication. ATMs are empty. Small shopkeepers are closing down. There are families who can’t send their children to school. no fuel for transport.
President Peskian reportedly told IRGC commanders, “If there’s no ceasefire, the economy will completely collapse within 3 to 4 weeks.”
And ordinary Iranians are asking, “Why are we paying this price?”
For years, the regime said, “Resistance economy. We’ll be self-sufficient. We don’t need the West.”
But the blockade exposed that resistance economy as a fairy tale. It worked as a slogan. But in the ordinary person’s kitchen, pharmacy, and gas tank, that slogan had no substance left. In Iran’s 2026 to 2027 budget, the share of oil revenue dropped from 32% to 5, the lowest level since the 1960s. To compensate, taxes were raised over 60%.
The state systematically reduced foreign currency obligations and shifted to real-based direct subsidies. what economists call inflationary financing. The state is stealing from its own people’s pockets. The April 2026 surrender shock was not a beginning. It was the final blow landing on the regime’s weakest moment.
The roots of this rage go much deeper. The last week of December 2025, the Iranian realale hit a record low against the dollar. $1 reached 1.5 million real. This was Iran’s largest uprising since the 1979 Islamic Revolution, spreading to more than 200 cities, reaching all 31 provinces. Millions were on the streets.
And this time, the slogans were different. They were shouting, “Death to the dictator!”
Directly targeting Supreme Leader Ali Khamei, the regime responded with gunfire. On January 8th to 9th, security forces opened fire, killing thousands. And beneath these protests lies a structural collapse that has been building for years.
“Support. Don’t be indifferent, brother. Now is the time to stand up to overthrow the Islamic Republic. Long live the sha of Iran.”
Iran is giving up. And this time, the resistance rhetoric can’t cover the collapse. For years, they bypassed sanctions, slipped through wars, pierced isolation. This resilience was Thran’s most powerful card against the world. But that card has now fallen from their hand. President Peskian went on national television to admit the country’s energy crisis and asked his citizens to accept living in darkness, to reduce their consumption of electricity and energy.
“Right now, we don’t need the sacrifices of these loved ones, but we need to control consumption. What’s wrong with turning on two lights at home instead of 10?”
But the darkness isn’t just in homes. Dams have dried up. Grocery shelves have emptied. Factories have shut down. Ports have stopped. The country is at the point of disintegration. And the Tehran regime is begging its people for sacrifice just to delay this collapse.
To understand Peskian’s desperate plea, we first need to look at how Iran reached this point. And the answer is hidden in two words. Blockade from outside, collapse from inside. For years, Iran used the straight of Hormuz as a threat. It could slam shut in the world’s face. This threat worked. A quarter of global oil passed through this straight and nobody could corner Iran this much because the whole world would pay the price.
The US upended that calculation. It deployed a massive naval force to Hormuz and shut Iran’s own ports. When the blockade began, Iran’s maritime trade effectively ended. Grain, oils, medicine, spare parts, everything coming from outside was cut off. The bulk of food imports stopped. Iran had wanted to use Hormuz as a weapon against the world.
The US wrapped that same strait around Iran’s own throat. This external strangle hold alone was devastating enough. But Iran’s real tragedy is this. The internal infrastructure was already collapsing before the blockade. The war merely accelerated it. Years of drought, corruption in the regime’s water management, illegal well drilling, excessive agricultural irrigation.
“We may need to reduce the water pressure to zero during some nights while residents are asleep. This measure would help prevent water waste. However, it could inconvenience the public. So, we asked citizens to ensure they install water storage tanks.”
The network known among the public as the water mafia had rotted Iran’s energy system from within. Most major dams like the Lard Dam had fallen to less than a tenth of their capacity. Thran’s main water source had nearly dried up. The city began discussing day zero, the day the water would completely run out. Hydroelect electric production dropped by half. Normally gas and oil fired thermal plants would cover this gap. But US-Israeli strikes targeted massive gas fields like South Pars and pipeline networks. So that door closed too.
The regime turned to diesel generators. But diesel wasn’t arriving either because of the blockade. And these two crises fed each other. The blockade cut fuel from outside while drought killed hydroelectric from inside. When water ran out in the dams, even the cooling water for thermal plants decreased. Every alternative crashed into the collapse of another.
Iran’s energy system entered a vicious cycle. Peshkian’s plea is the product of this vicious cycle. These words clearly summarize the picture Iran finds itself in. While there isn’t a complete blackout across the country, serious restrictions and planned outages are in effect. In many cities, homes receive only 4 to 8 hours of electricity per day.
A severe imbalance has formed between industrial facilities and households. And the first and hardest hit by these restrictions are Iran’s lifelines, the ports. The country’s largest commercial port, Shahed Rajayi, handled 85% of container traffic. electric cranes, nightlighting, cold storage facilities, all dependent on energy.
When outages began, operations slowed by 40 to 60%. Tens of thousands of port workers saw their shifts disrupted for hours. Thousands were temporarily laid off or sent on unpaid leave. When the port stopped, the wave spread to truck drivers. Iran’s 365,000 registered truck drivers form the backbone of the country’s economy.
Their daily routes were extended by 20 to 40% or completely cancelled. Fuel pump systems at gas stations run on electricity. During outages, drivers were forced to wait in line for hours. Transportation of cargo from Bandara Bass came to a complete halt. The cold chain broke. Tons of perishable goods were wasted.
Drivers faced the same darkness both at work and at home. Income loss and household outages hit simultaneously. And the paralysis wasn’t limited to logistics. Industry also stopped. The Moar steel factory in Isfahan, Iran’s largest steel facility, completely shut down after the strikes and tens of thousands of workers were sent home.
Steel was the basic input for automotive and construction. Cascading job losses put 10 to 12 million people at risk. And Iran’s most creative sanctions evasion tool also collapsed. Bitcoin mining. The country was generating billions of dollars in annual revenue by providing 2 to 8% of the global Bitcoin hash rate.
Mining equipment was consuming nearly 2,000 megawatt of electricity. The regime was stealing this energy from civilians. Power outages shut down the mining farms. The $7.8 billion crypto ecosystem was paralyzed. The regime lost this source it had been using to finance the war. Iran’s economic lifelines are being cut one by one.
And the people paying the heaviest price for this economic paralysis, ordinary Iranians. Inflation climbed the 105%. Food prices rose 72% in one year. Water outages reached 12 to 18 hours per day. Families are managing with candles and flashlights. Food spoiling because refrigerators don’t work. Clean water not flowing because pumps have stopped.
Crime rates rising because street lighting has decreased. Women and children can’t even access the most basic necessities. Schools switched to remote learning. But with no electricity at home, remote education became impossible, too. And this picture didn’t form overnight. Ordinary Iranians were already struggling with inflation running at 40 to 50% before the war.
Real wages had long eroded. Food prices had been climbing year after year. The groups crushed hardest under this pressure. Port workers, truck drivers, factory workers were already fighting a survival battle. In the 2025 port explosion, dozens lost their lives due to regime negligence. Drivers had been battling poor road safety and low freight rates for years.
War and blockade turned these chronic problems into the last straw that broke the camel’s back. This anger is not new. In May 2025, a strike by 365,000 truck drivers over insurance and fuel price hikes alone spread to 155 cities and paralyzed the supply chain. Energy sector workers and port employees had joined the 2025 to 2026 protests.
Historically, truck driver and port strikes have triggered broader popular movements. The regime knows this pattern very well. Now, war and blockade are deepening this accumulated anger many times over. The regime is marketing it as national sacrifice. But for the people, these words mean the official endorsement of income loss, darkness, and hunger.
The Iranian regime has been able to suppress revolts in the past in 2019, 2022, 2025 to 2026. Thousands of arrests, hundreds of deaths, internet shutdowns, and military patrols through IRGC and besiege forces. In the short term, it has the capacity to keep workers under control. Thran is exploding from within. And this time, it’s not an external attack.
It’s a collapse coming from inside the regime itself. On April 22nd, the IRGC is staging a coup against its own government. President Peskian and Foreign Minister Iraqi are allegedly being held hostage and detained. Speaker of Parliament Galibah was removed from his position on April 22nd. And while negotiators are reportedly under house arrest, IRGC soldiers are celebrating on top of a Koramsh 4 ballistic missile in Revolution Square.
Iran made a critical mistake. It overturned the negotiation table. But the hand that flipped the table has now started overturning the country itself. No authority in Tehran is in place. No decision mechanism is functioning. And while the people wait in breadlines under the blockade, the regime is devouring itself.
Iran is at a critical threshold where a coup, an internal collapse, and a popular uprising trigger are all converging at once. And that threshold narrows with every passing hour. To grasp the scale of this chaos, we first need to look at the picture. The three top figures of Iran’s civilian leadership, President, Speaker of Parliament, and Foreign Minister, have either been taken hostage, detained, held under house arrest, or removed from their positions.
On April 22nd, Galibbah was officially barred from negotiations.
“Well, look, first of all, as of right now, while I am here with you, we do not have a plan for the next round of negotiations.”
While the official narrative says resigned, it is assessed that he was removed by the IRGC because the timing reveals everything. The day the IRGC sabotaged negotiations was the same day Galibah fell. According to insiders, Galibaf was blocking every US proposal. But the IRGC sidelined him not because he was blocking peace, but because he was sitting at the negotiation table.
And what the IRGC wants is for the table itself to disappear. And the most striking evidence of the situation’s severity is this. On April 23rd, Peskian, Galibaf, and Arachi posted word for word the exact same message within minutes. Not the independent thinking of three different officials, but a text dictated by a single hand.
That hand belongs to IRGC Chief Vahidi. Civilian leadership can no longer even control its own social media accounts. This may be the most concrete indicator of the hostage and detention claims. According to the latest update, the military is effectively holding control. Elected officials have been sidelined and most who supported talks have been dismissed and detained.
None of these claims have yet been confirmed by independent sources and some are being spread by anti-Iran accounts. But what’s critical here is not whether the claims are true, but that Iran is effectively sliding into an authority vacuum. On April 22nd, Jesse Waters on Fox News claimed generals are blocking peace talks and holding their own negotiators, while Iran International published an independent analysis that the IRGC has seized de facto control by sidelining civilian leadership.
And ISWCTP reported that Iran’s decision-making process remains fragmented and dispersed with Supreme National Security Council Secretary Zolkad unable to coordinate between the IRGC and civilian leadership. And the IRGC’s behavior completes this picture. On April 22nd, following the news of negotiations collapsing, they placed a 2,000 km range Koramsha 4 ballistic missile in Revolution Square and celebrated.
This is not panic, it’s victory. The IRGC wants negotiations to end and isn’t hiding it. But while the missile is being celebrated in the square, a few streets away, people are waiting in bread lines. Salaries aren’t being paid. Inflation has already exploded. and the blockade strangles Iran’s economy a little more each day.
While regime supporters dance on top of the missile, the vast majority of Iranians are paying the price of this crisis. And that price could trigger popular rage at some point. To understand why the IRGC killed the negotiations, we need to see what they gain. And to understand that, we must grasp the IRGC’s position within the Iranian state.
Because the IRGC is not just an army, it’s simultaneously Iran’s largest economic actor, its intelligence network manager, and its ideological guardian. From the IRGC commander perspective, war is an opportunity to expand their dominance over Iranian society and consolidate their power. If peace comes, the IRGC’s reason for existence is questioned. Its budget is cut.
Its political influence diminishes. Its economic empires like Katam al-Anbiar are threatened. If war continues, the IRGC becomes the only surviving power. They want the war to continue until no other group in Iran can oppose them. This way, they build a structure where the military takes over Iran and the civilian government completely disappears.
This has been their goal from the beginning and now they see an opportunity to make it happen. We saw the clearest evidence of this strategy in Hormuz. On April 17th, Foreign Minister Iraqi announced the strait was open to all commercial vessels. The IRGC opened fire on ships the same day. IRGC soldiers told ships in Hormuz, “Don’t listen to that fool. The strait is not open.”
State television called Iraqi a fool. This happened in front of the international public. The civilian government was saying one thing while the military was saying something completely different. And as we’ve seen repeatedly throughout history, the ones with the guns won that fight.
And at the center is Ahmad Vahidi, appointed IRGC commander on March 1st. Known as the architect of Iran’s overseas terror organizations, he commanded the Kuds force from 1988 to 1997 before Sulmani. 85 deaths in the Buenosire’s Jewish center attack. Interpol red notice. While he consolidates control with hardline security figures, civilian leadership is increasingly sidelined.
Bahiti’s goal is not negotiation. It’s establishing the IRGC’s total dominance over the Iranian state. And there’s a critical nuance here. Galibath himself is IRGC origin. He grew up in barracks, commanded a core. So the IRGC is sidelining its own former member. This is not an ideological purge.
It’s a pure power grab. Thei is purging everyone he sees as a rival. Anyone sitting at the negotiation table threatens the IRGC’s monopoly on war. The internal chaos in Iran is growing. Outside, US pressure keeps increasing. No ship heading to or from Iran can get through. And most importantly, China and Russia are increasing the pressure on Iran.
Xi Jinping described Hormuz as an international waterway in his phone call with NBS and demanded it be reopened. Lavrov pressured Iraqi with the ceasefire must be maintained but demanded a guarantee of unimpeded passage for Russian vessels. The strait is still closed. Panic is growing. Patience is being tested. On one side, the US wants full control of Hormuz.
On the other, China and Russia want access to Iranian ports. This chaotic environment has split Iran’s leadership in two and is forcing diplomats to choose sides. The IRGC wants a new war in the strait by forcibly bringing the diplomatic wing under control. But President Peskian and others are switching sides by warming to the US deal.
Three positions, three messages, same regime. One side says end the war. One says negotiate. One opens fire on tankers. And above them all lies a supreme leader in a coma. Mojaba Kamani in intensive care at Cena University Hospital unaware of his own appointment. The control room of a nuclear armed regime has been emptied. The Islamic Republic is in chaos.
At least three factions are competing for control. They don’t know where they stand. Trump has cornered them. Deal or no deal? The regime is losing. At the breaking point of the regime stand two names, President Peskian and new IRGC leader Vahidi. They are pulling in completely opposite directions. Peskian was never pro-war.
He was elected as a reformist president and the IRGC’s stance was always the exact opposite. According to the IRGC, the war must continue. The strait must stay closed. negotiations with the US must be rejected. In Peskian’s view, this stance means destroying the people and the country. And the statement he made on April 20th dropped into the regime like a ticking bomb.
“If the conflict continues, Iran will face a massive reconstruction crisis. No funding, no market stability, infrastructure in ruins. War damage stands at $270 billion. Steel, prochemical and energy infrastructure has been severely hit. Isfahan’s industrial zones have been struck. Port infrastructure at Bushir and Bander Aabbas has been damaged. The currency has collapsed even further this year. The Iranian realale is at its lowest level in history.”
And most importantly, Peskian argues that the truth must be told to the people, otherwise trust in government will completely erode. This is the first open call to face reality coming from within the regime. And this call directly contradicts the hardliners continue the war rhetoric. Because if you tell the truth, you cannot explain why the war should continue.
And this statement was perceived by the IRGC as switching sides and surrender. And Peshkian is not alone. Parliament Speaker Galibah, also the leader of the Islamabad negotiation delegation, has opened fire on his own regime’s radicals. According to Iran International’s exclusive report, Galibah described SNSC member Sai Jallei and MP Amir Hussein Sabeti as extreme militi-like actors who will destroy Iran.
During a meeting with advisers, he said state television was being mobilized against negotiations and that hardliners were systematically killing any deal with the US. He expressed concern about being removed from his position and worried that foreign minister Iraqi would also be ousted. Foreign Minister Arachi announced on April 17th that Hormuz was open to all commercial vessels.
The IRGC opened fire on tankers the same day. State television called Aragchi stupid. The two men sitting at the negotiation table, Galibah and Aragchi, are living in fear of being stabbed in the back by their own regime’s military wing. But the critical nuance must not be missed here. Peskian and Galibaf appear to be moving to the people’s side, but they are actually acting on the regime’s survival instinct.
Galibaf is IRGC origin raised in barracks commanded a core. This is not an ideological transformation. It’s an adaptation strategy. He’s not turning to destroy the regime but to save it by moving in the direction the people want. He appears to be acting for the people but is actually trying to save the regime. Not for the people but thanks to the people.
The difference is subtle but critical. But ultimately they are pointing in the same direction as the people’s demands. Peace, negotiation, economic relief. And this is the first time a regime factions position overlaps with what the people want. If they can’t make a deal with the US, the economy collapses. The people revolt. If they make a deal, the IRGC topples them.
And the radicals are also infiltrating the negotiation table. Thran MP Mahmud Nabian, a hardliner planted in the Islamabad delegation, called talks with the US meaningless and harmful. This man is not a representative. He’s a bomb planted in the delegation. He’s there to sabotage Galibba’s team from the inside. And for IRGC radicals, the Peskian Galibbuff shift is dangerous because if the pro-negotiation faction strengthens, the IRGC’s monopoly on war breaks.
“Thran streets are boiling. Massive crowds have poured into the streets. But these are not dissident opposing the regime. These are the regime’s own supporters. And their anger is not aimed outward. It’s aimed inward because the people running Iran did something unforgivable in their eyes. They surrendered.”
At least that’s what millions of regime supporters believe. And a regime that said, “We will never back down.” For 47 years just backed down with a single tweet. Politicians are turning their backs on each other. The military is branding negotiators as traitors. The Mullers are worried the revolutionary guards have seized the state.
And the emerging information goes beyond what was feared. Iran is no longer run by an elected government, but by a three-person committee of IRGC origin. April 17th, Iran’s foreign minister, Iraqi posted on X. All commercial vessels passage through the straight of Hormuz has been fully restored and Iran exploded from the inside.
The straight of Hormuz was Iran’s last card. As long as the straight stayed closed, oil prices rose. Rising prices put pressure on Trump and that pressure gave Iran room at the table. And Iraqi burned that card with a single tweet with no deal, no guarantee behind it. Trump’s response made things worse. Sentcom said, “The blockade continues. It doesn’t matter what Iran does.”
That same day, Trump announced, “We’ve secured an agreement that they won’t continue enrichment.”
Whether that sentence was even true no longer mattered. What mattered was that multiple regime figures saw it as either fake or betrayal and went into shock. So, Iran gave its card and received nothing in return. The blockade continues. The economy is collapsing. No peace deal exists.
And for millions of regime supporters, this scene had only one name, surrender. From that moment on, Iran fell into a three-way civil war. Now, let’s see this from the inside. Because all three fronts are against each other. On the first front, the IRGC is against the government. The revolutionary guards had been questioning the diplomatic wing from the start.
IRGC linked media accused Iraqi of treachery and lack of trust, branding him a JCPOA diplomat, meaning the architect of the 2015 Obama deal. A hardline commentator on state television openly said Iraqi had shown flexibility in negotiations on reducing financial and military support to Hezbollah and since that tweet he has neither spoken nor been seen.
On the second front, Müllers and parliamentarians are against the leadership. MP Mortez Mahmoodi openly said if not for wartime conditions, he would have been forced to resign. He accused him of making untimely statements that repeatedly calmed global oil markets during sensitive periods. The hardline wing in Parliament went even further, declaring that the IRGC’s 10 negotiation demands were non-negotiable and that Hezbollah and the Houthis would never be abandoned.
But the Müller’s anger isn’t just aimed at diplomats. It’s also aimed at the IRGC itself. Because as the revolutionary guards effectively seize control of the state, the clerics are losing their historical reason for existence. If an IRGC origin committee can run the country without Mullers, the Theo in theocracy becomes a facade and the Müllers are neither in power nor able to oppose, completely stuck in between.
Former Culture Minister Ayatollah Muzani read the situation from another angle. If the Supreme National Security Council doesn’t speak up at sensitive moments, we will suffer great damage in the psychological war. The regime’s own former minister was openly saying Iran was losing not just the military war but the propaganda war too.
On the third front, the streets. And they are against everyone. And this is the most dangerous one. Because the people on the streets are not the regime’s enemies. They are the regime’s own base. For years, they believed the slogan, “We will never back down.” They sent their sons to the front. They endured sanctions. They accepted all of it as the price of standing against the great Satan. And now they see a retreat by the very people who never paid that price.
And there is a fourth layer feeding this three-front war. The root of the streets rage is not just surrender. For 6 weeks, the US blockade has been tearing apart Iran’s daily life. Power cuts in Tehran last up to 12 hours a day. Fuel cues stretch for kilome. Food prices have risen over 40%. Medicine shortages are hitting hospitals. Cancer treatments have stopped. Chronic patients have no medication. ATMs are empty. Small shopkeepers are closing down. There are families who can’t send their children to school. No fuel for transport.
President Peskian reportedly told IRGC commanders, “If there’s no ceasefire, the economy will completely collapse within 3 to 4 weeks.”
And ordinary Iranians are asking, “Why are we paying this price?”
For years, the regime said, “Resistance economy. We’ll be self-sufficient. We don’t need the West.”
But the blockade exposed that resistance economy as a fairy tale. It worked as a slogan. But in the ordinary person’s kitchen, pharmacy, and gas tank, that slogan had no substance left. In Iran’s 2026 to 2027 budget, the share of oil revenue dropped from 32% to 5, the lowest level since the 1960s. To compensate, taxes were raised over 60%.
The state systematically reduced foreign currency obligations and shifted to real-based direct subsidies, what economists call inflationary financing. The state is stealing from its own people’s pockets. The April 2026 surrender shock was not a beginning. It was the final blow, landing on the regime’s weakest moment.
The roots of this rage go much deeper. The last week of December 2025, the Iranian realal hit a record low against the dollar. $1 reached 1.5 million real. This was Iran’s largest uprising since the 1979 Islamic Revolution, spreading to more than 200 cities, reaching all 31 provinces. Millions were on the streets.
And this time, the slogans were different. They were shouting, “Death to the dictator!”
Directly targeting Supreme Leader Ali Khani, the regime responded with gunfire. On January 8th to 9th, security forces opened fire, killing thousands. And beneath these protests lies a structural collapse that has been building for years. According to the Atlantic Council’s analysis, Iran is