Iran Leader May Not See Tomorrow: IRGC SNATCHES Control from Regime Leaders

Coup rumors are spreading all across Iran. Two sides are now fighting for the control of the country. One side is trying to negotiate with the United States, and the other side is trying to stop them. The animosity between the two sides has gotten so bad that the fighting has spilled into the public, and the Iranian public can see exactly what’s going on.

One side that’s trying to negotiate with the United States is being headed by the Parliament speaker Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Aragachi. The other side is controlled by the IRGC. Take a look at this most recent report on the civil war that is happening. The controversy between both sides widened after a social media account linked to hardliners Saeed Jalili, who is a long-time political rival of Ghalibaf and a member of Iran’s National Security Council.

That account published a post with the hashtag coup plotters. The post called on Mojtaba Khamenei, current supreme leader, to publicly clarify his position if he indeed supports the negotiations or not, warning that without such confirmation, officials could be accused of acting without the leader’s authorization. The most shocking part of this all, the account was quickly deactivated right after it published this post.

Now, it is shocking for the account to just disappear right after this post was published. Maybe the civil war is becoming a lot more violent than we are realizing. But nonetheless, this was not some isolated example. This was one of many posts. This was one of many examples of powerful people inside Iran turning against the negotiators.

One post says that there is no good in negotiations except harm for Iran. Another says that the IRGC should intervene and stop the negotiators, including Ghalibaf, from betraying the nation. This is the first time we are seeing two factions basically fight it out in public ever since this war started.

And that’s because Iran had sort of united even the people who are protesting were not out on the streets because a war was ongoing and they were scared to come out on the streets. But now, because of everything that’s going on during the ceasefire, the Iranian people and the world can see that the Islamic regime is deeply divided even at the top level.

The situation got so bad that the parliament speaker had to go on national television and explain to the Iranian public why negotiations are important. He says that even though Iran is winning the war, United States is just a much bigger military power and that’s why he needs to do what he’s doing right now. Take a listen.

“People have been in the streets for nearly 50 nights. With regard to technology, we shot down 170 to 180 UAVs. We did not have this defensive capability in the previous round of war. All this has developed in the past 7 to 8 months. The downing of an F-35 fighter jet was not an accident. It was the result of efforts and capabilities developed in multiple fields. This does not mean that we are stronger militarily than the United States. Obviously, the Americans have more money, equipment, and capabilities than we do. I noticed that our dear people say that we have destroyed the enemy. No, we have not destroyed them. And we should know this.”

And then he goes on to explain in this interview that Iran will not give up anything in the negotiations that the supreme leader doesn’t want Iran to give up. He says that Iran is not looking to surrender despite of what Trump has been saying in his statements. He explains to the public that negotiations are just a way of continued the fighting. They’re basically a battlefield where Iran is putting up a valiant fight. Take a listen.

“In this situation, negotiations constitute a form of fighting. This method of fighting is complimentary to other forms. I ask our dear people to unite around the three fighting arenas, which in fact constitute one battlefield, raising the flag of victory and making our people’s gains official. Rest assured, we will not make any compromises in these regards. Negotiations are a method of fighting that complements the military efforts in order to secure the rights of the people in the streets and to fulfill the demands of our honorable people. They should know that we pursue these points diligently. Our people in the streets are fighting in this arena. Our armed forces are fighting in the military arena, and I, as a soldier, am fighting in the realm of negotiations.”

Now, this is where things get a bit interesting because people who are against the negotiations inside of Iran, well, they’re calling on the supreme leader to come out and basically tell the public that he supports what’s going on in the negotiations. But, the supreme leader is still nowhere to be found. It’s hard to believe that he’s just getting treatment for more than 45 days. Maybe the injuries were that bad, or maybe he is dead and people are just pretending that he’s still there. But, nonetheless, in the public, the fighting is spreading and things are getting even more tense behind the scenes.

Take a look at this report. Iranian Parliament speaker sharply criticized opponents of a potential agreement with the United States in meeting with advisors. Galifba, who has also led Iran’s team in the latest negotiating with Washington, described figures including Said Jalili and a hardline Iranian MP as extremist militia-like actors who would destroy Iran.

Now, the Said guy is the guy who first tweeted out about the coup plotters that we covered at the start of the video. Anyways, let’s continue. Galifba says that the camp was using state television and mobilizing hardline supporters to intensify opposition to negotiations and a possible deal with United States. Galifba also voiced concern about being removed from the speakership and about Foreign Minister Aragachi being pushed out of office during a time like this.

And this is where I want to remind anyone who’s not been following, this whole thing started because the Foreign Minister Aragachi said that the Strait of Hormuz is wide open. And then the IRGC said that, “No, no, it’s not.” And since then the IRGC Navy has been broadcasting a message to all the ships that are in the Persian Gulf. Basically, calling Aragachi an idiot and saying that the Strait of Hormuz is not open no matter what an idiot says on Twitter.

Now, luckily, all the while this is happening, negotiations are still ongoing. They are getting delayed, but they haven’t been canceled. Before we get to that though, let me tell you about the Iranian ship that was just seized by US forces because it was carrying something shocking. According to sources talking to Reuters, the Iranian flag container Touska seized on Sunday was likely carrying dual-use items that could be used by the Iranian military. This is where it’s important to go back to what happened in 2019 when this ship was initially sanctioned by the United States. You see, the reason this ship was sanctioned was because it was suspected of transporting items intended for Iran’s ballistic missile program.

So, it’s not unlikely the ship was trying to carry something similar this time around. Iran was maybe using the ceasefire to load up in case negotiations fail, or maybe IRGC was using the ceasefire to load up because they want to make sure the negotiations fail. Then again, it is important to clarify one thing. This information that we know is based on initial report that the US military made. Now that the ship is under US control, I’m sure we’ll have a more concrete evidence as to what it was carrying very soon.

Now talking about updates, US Central Command gave us a new update this morning. They have so far directed 27 vessels to turn around or return to an Iranian port since this US blockade started. Take a listen to the clip they published this morning.

“Warship 96 warship 115, you’re entering area of military blockade. This blockade of Iranian ports will be enforced and applies to all vessels regardless of flag. Any vessel that further attempts enter exit Iranian port is subject to the right of visit and search in accordance with international law. If you attempt to run the blockade, we will compel compliance with force. Over.”

While the blockade is ongoing, the US military is also using underwater robots and drones to hunt down the Iranian mines that the IRGC laid in the Strait of Hormuz. First, there’s the common unmanned surface vessel, a drone made by ITX that tows a floating sonar system called AQS-20. It scans the sea bottom for mines, patrolling columns that are about 100 ft wide at a time. Then there are battery-powered submarine drones, the MK-18 Mod 2 Kingfish and the Knifefish, made by General Dynamics. They can be dropped from a small boat and scan for mines in a specific area. Once mines are located, a second wave of sea robots go out to destroy them using explosives or setting them off remotely. Using these methods, once a lane is clear, traffic can flow like normal.

Now, this is where we have to keep in mind it’s not just the underwater drones that are a threat, it’s also IRGC, which can send out its own underwater drone or like, you know, just water drone or even a Sahed drone to target a ship. And on top of that, they can always send out a small boat with IRGC soldiers on them with AK-47 just shooting at the tankers as we saw yesterday. This is why unless a long-term peace deal is signed, it’s unlikely that the traffic is going to return to the Strait of Hormuz like normal, but nonetheless, when and if a deal is signed in the upcoming negotiations, removing the mines would be the first step. So, the US is already getting a head start.

Now, let’s shift our focus to the negotiations. It seems despite all the back and forth and despite all the delays, an Iranian delegation is already making plans to travel to Islamabad on Tuesday, so tomorrow for negotiations. Parliament speaker Galif Baf will lead these talks and will only attend if J.D. Vance also attends from the US side. Now, luckily, from the US side, we are getting reports that VP J.D. Vance is expected to depart Washington tomorrow to take part in the latest negotiations in Islamabad, Pakistan. Now, this is where the timing plays an important role, because if he’s leaving tomorrow, it takes roughly 16 hours to go to Pakistan, and that means by the time he arrives in Pakistan, the ceasefire is expected to be finished.

So, unless it’s renewed, we don’t know what’s going to happen. I doubt that everyone is just going to start shooting again because that would mean that the negotiations are kind of paused if the shooting restarts. So, it’s unlikely that will happen, but nonetheless, there is this uncertainty. Because this meeting, which will hopefully take place on Wednesday, well, it was expected to take place last Wednesday and it just kept getting pushed back, pushed back, and pushed back. So, now it means that the ceasefire might be over by the time everyone gets to the negotiating table and hopefully it can get extended, otherwise it just provides, you know, more confusion for everyone involved.

Now, to understand why Iran is behaving the way it’s behaving right now, we have to go back and look at how Iran got to where it is today. That doesn’t just mean going back to 1979 when the Islamic Revolution took place. In fact, we have to go further back to when the Qajar dynasty was ruling Iran in the 19th century and look at how the decisions the ruling class made back then still affects Iran to this very day. Well, guess what? That’s exactly what we’re doing in our multi-part podcast that just came out today. So, if you’re someone who’s interested in the history of Iran and how we got to where we are today, definitely go check it out. You can watch it by clicking the links in the description or you can just watch it by clicking the end screen on your screen. Basically, clicking the video that’s on your screen.