“The new fear shaking the West. The war was supposed to stop Iran, but now comes the truly worrying warning. Is it possible that Iran is secretly advancing nuclear weapons and maybe even at a faster pace than before the United States and Israel launched the first military attacks against the Islamic Republic? We will bring you the whole truth.”
“And today we will also bring you the full explanation. Why is Oman, which is trying to advance the negotiations, receiving such a sharp American threat? Against the backdrop of the diplomatic contacts, the IDF continues to operate inside Lebanon at full force. And overnight while the IDF continues fighting the terrorist organization fired towards a unifi post one United Nations staff member was killed and two were wounded.”
“The IDF announced that during the night mortar and other launches by his were identified towards a unifi post in southern Lebanon. This is as a result of this strike. One United Nations staff member was killed and two others were wounded. I’m Pinto. With me is Mati Shashani. We are here on boots on the ground. We bring you the whole truth about what’s happening here in Israel and also the whole truth about what’s happening in our neighborhood, the Middle East.”
“Today, today is June 4th. So, let’s begin. This morning, after a military activity and an active night in the straight of Hormuz, the question rises again. Did the revolutionary guards in Iran sink an American destroyer? The truth is that right now there are conflicting versions in the Gulf of Oman. Iran claims that hidden American ship and the United States denies it and says that the Iranians are lying.”
“The Islamic Republic published a video on X showing a missile that is being launched towards an American ship. Yan claims that it attacked a military vessel that served the United States Navy as a command and control ship in the waters of the Gulf of Oman. United States Central Command published an official statement completely denying the reports from Thran. The claim Iran is now claiming that it hit a United States Navy destroyer in the Gulf of Oman.”
“And the truth is that Iran is lying. According to the United States, United States military assets at the sea continue to fly, continue to sail, and continue to operate safely and without any disruption. And right now it seems that much continues to run Iran from a deep remote and isolated bunker in a highly secret hiding place.”
“And in the last day, he issues a special letter that was read in his home in his name because of some reason that he still does not allow himself to be seen in public. Well, he’s afraid for good reason. But in the letter he claimed that after the enemy was defeated on the battlefield, it is now trying to sow division and despair amongst the Iranian public.”
“And Kami, who was not being seen or heard in his own voice since the war broke out on February 28th, claimed in his message that Iran stunned the world and achieved a final victory against the West. He made clear that Thran will demand compensation for the damages of the war and for the blood of the martyrs and hinted at a new stage regarding the naval blockade in the straight of Hmuz.”
“At this stage, the Iranian panic is forced to make do with his pictures being carried in demonstrations and with written messages read in his name on state television while he runs the country from behind the scenes inside a bunker underneath a bunker somewhere inside Iran. But inside Iran, Thran is discovering that time is working against it.”
“The economic campaign is beginning to exact a heavy price from the regime. The Iranian realale, the currency, is approaching a new low. Actual inflation is much higher than the forecasts and oil exports are being choked under the American naval blockade. Alongside the boasting and the threats from Thran, the damage to infrastructure, the naval blockade, and the frozen funds, they allow Trump to conduct the negotiations from a more patient and stronger position.”
“And on the negotiation front, the president of the United States is paying the Iranians back in their own coin and applying additional pressure to break the resistance at the negotiating table. But alongside the advantages, there are also quite a few dangers, especially the fact that around the corner, there’s always the possibility of a dangerous escalation that could reignite the fire of war.”
“In the last day, Trump declared that the talks with Iran will produce results by the end of the weekend. And regarding Iran’s enriched uranium, Trump said, ‘I want to get it. We will get Iran’s enriched uranium in the not tooistant future.’ He added, ‘we will not allow Iran to have a nuclear weapon.’ And there is one issue because of which the agreement is stuck. And it seems that now alternatives are being worked around it.”
“This is a central dispute in the negotiations. Iran is demanding financial compensation immediately after the signing of the initial agreement worth about $12 billion. Trump fears losing leverage over Thran before the final agreement he signed and therefore refuses to transfer money directly to Iran.”
“The administration in Washington is examining several creative options to break the deadlock and at the same time as the negotiations the Gulf states are investing enormous capital in routes that bypass the straight of Huz. So the question is, is the Iranian blockade on Humus cracking? The United States is wearing down one of Iran’s central cards. Despite the threats from Thran and the escalation in the Gulf, dozens of oil and gas tankers continue to cross the straight.”
“And earlier today, a change in American policy in the area of the Strait of Homus was reported. Instead of declaring an open challenge against Iran, the United States is quietly coordinating with maritime transportation companies that are willing to take a different approach. From statements in Washington, from data from the United States Central Command, and from the words of the officials similar with the crossings, it appears that ships are turning off transmitters and staying close to the coast of Aman in the southern part of the straight of Hammud to avoid Iranian missiles while the United States military assists them when necessary.”
“So, the United States Central Command published a statement saying that its forces shut down Iranian attack drones that were aimed at civilian mariners lawfully transit transiting regional waters. So, United States forces also carried out self-defense strikes against an Iranian military ground control station.”
“So, as we can see, the United States has been working in recent weeks to reduce the impact of the Iranian blockade on the strait while ensuring the passage of dozens of oil tankers and liqufied gas tankers. Some vessels use different evasion methods, including turning off navigation systems in order to continue their movement.”
“The move allows the Gulf States to continue exporting energy and reduces Thran’s ability to use Hormuz as leverage over the global economy. Alongside the naval pressure, Iran has significantly reduced the oil production in its fields because of the drop in exports and the shortage of storage facilities.”
“According to assessments that are shared in talks between American officials and the Gulf States, it would be possible to continue the current pressure framework for at least three more months. And inside Iran, revolutionary guards continue to play find the uranium. Yeah, Iran has scattered the dangerous material. And that’s exactly what concerns the United States.”
“We know that Iran holds enriched uranium that could be enough for about 10 atomic bombs. 10 atomic bombs. According to the reports, the material is hidden in deep and fortified sites. And therefore, the United States is finding it difficult to act against it militarily and is trying to advance a diplomatic solution. And against the backdrop of reports about an emerging ceasefire agreement, the idea of continuous offensive activities in Lebanon, Kizbbala rejects the ceasefire agreement between Lebanon and Israel.”
“And in the organization statement, it was written that informed the president of Lebanon that it rejects this agreement and insists that any deal must begin with a full withdrawal of IDF forces from Lebanon. So, how does Hizbala view the IDF operation in Lebanon? Security officials assess that sees the IDF operation as part of a broad Israeli American move to reshape the security reality in Lebanon.”
“While Iran is working to tie the future of the Lebanese front to the emerging agreement with the United States. I’m Pinto with me is Mati Shashani. We are here on boots on the ground. We bring you the whole truth about what’s happening here in Israel and about the war against the revolutionary guards in Iran, which is the head of the crumbling axis of evil in the Middle East.”
“So, our senior Middle East correspondent, Mati Shashani, could it be that Trump is no longer trying to reach an agreement with Iran, but is trying to force the regime to choose between diplomatic humiliation and the gradual destruction of its power levers?”
“I think we need to be honest for a second about what’s actually going to happen at the end of this war because there are a lot of complicated and possibly contradicting processes that are taking place at the same time. And let me talk about one first, the agreement.”
“The US says they want to first have an agreement with Iran that the goal is an agreement and if the agreement fails then we go to some kind of conflict again with Iran. But at the same time they say something that might be completely contradicting to that which is that we’re only going to have a good agreement only the agreement we want only the agreement that includes the basic and in my opinion very reasonable demands made by the US of no nuclear no ballistic no proxies for the Iranians without talking about regime chains without talking about the financial damage they’ve caused and when you look at that and you see what Iran says about that sometimes you wonder if an agreement is possible. Now, Trump has said things that sound like negotiation, but maybe we dive into them for a second and realize that maybe he means them. He said we can live without an agreement. Maybe we don’t even need an agreement. Maybe we just bleed the Iranians.”
“Maybe we just hurt them till we are get what we want, till we have what we want. Is that a possibility? Could there be a situation where the US doesn’t sign an agreement with Iran and just keeps forever fighting?”
“Well, I don’t think that’s going to happen. I don’t think we’re going to forever fight, but we might see something different take place. We might see the US well continue putting maximum financial pressure on Iran, maximum diplomatic pressure on Iran here and there carrying out raids and slowly but surely reaching a point where there’s some kind of status quo that is reached where the Iranians understand what they can and cannot do. This is not unheard of in the world uh at all. In fact, I mean it happens often where wars just they just fizzle out. There is no agreement. You just have this frozen stalemate for a while and every once in a while, maybe months, maybe decades, it flares up again. Where do we see this? Just yesterday, last night I believe in the US, Trump has asked, ‘What does a ceasefire mean for?’ Well, let me pull it up. I can play you the video. I was just looking at this before we started the uh the broadcast. Trump says, ‘Hold on, listen to this.'”
“How do you find ceasefire? Uh pretty much the way it is. It’s a different part of the world. You’re not saying that part of the world ceasefire is when you’re shooting in a more moderate manner.”
“Okay. You heard it from President Trump himself. He says a ceasefire in this part of the world is sometimes when you’re just shooting in a well a lesser or more moderate manner. I just posted that to my uh Instagram uh story just a couple minutes ago because I think people need to understand that the the terminology that we’re using here is very very important. And I need to say this. Look, Israel has had ceasefire agreements with Lebanon in the past where we’ve had wars withah. We never really sign a ceasefire. We’ve left Lebanon without an agreement. We’ve left Gaza without an agreement. Wars have ended without agreements. and you sort of just freeze the situation and have this gentleman or not gentleman’s agreement, depends on who you’re actually talking about, uh to continue with the quiet that you currently have.”
“That might be the place we’re at right now for possibly an extended time. And I’d say this from a different perspective. If I had to ask anyone that’s been following Middle East news and and geopolitics for the last couple months, and I said like, look, here’s what the US is stating. The US is saying our agreement will have it’ll have no more nuclear-enriched material. It’ll have no more ballistic missile manufacturing. It’ll have no more proxy being fed uh trained, equipped, uh you know, prodded to carry out attacks on our behalf. And you’re going to enter into some kind of economic agreement with us. And Iran, on the other hand, says we’re keeping our nuclear. We’re going to continue manufacturing ballistic missiles. Proxies are inherent right. and try to stop us.”
“Where’s the middle ground between those two stances? There is no middle ground. You don’t have a half nuclear bomb. You don’t have half a proxy and you don’t have half of a ballistic missile program. Uh you might have half of a Well, I’m not going to go into dark jokes. I’ll just stop there anyway. But aside from dark jokes on this topic, you don’t have half of these kind of things. And that really leaves you with with this situation which is a tenuous situation that remains where the US sort of sets in fire the terms. Iran responds in their version of fire and they set their response and there’s this understanding of like I can go here, you can go there kind of thing and that’s where we stand. There doesn’t have to be an agreement. I wish there was. I wish there was a strong agreement. But when you ask me today, I don’t know what’s going to happen in two 3 months. You ask me today or you ask anyone who’s been following this today. Look, are the Iranians willing to have a supervision mechanism of their nuclear program. No. What they’ve done in the past and what they’re saying right now is no, no, no. We want to have our nuclear. Maybe we’ll give it to our neighbor next door, Ahmed. He’ll keep it for us and if we need it, he’ll give it back to us. But you can’t have it. I don’t know. I’m I’m not comfortable with that kind of agreement. That’s really the reality we’re in right now of this this tenuous ongoing situation that doesn’t necessarily resolve itself. And I’d say still in the situation agreements are not the only option. Ceasefires are not the only option. The option of warfare, the option of fire is valid, is existent, and it might be completely surprising in its nature. Uh it might not be the Iranians who decide to continue the war. It might be the US that decides to say, ‘Look, they’re just carrying on. They’re trying to build up once again. They’re trying to mine the Straight of Humuz. It’s bombing time. It’s mission time. It’s time to press the red buttons. Send the 50,000 troops we have land troops, ground troops, uh, have in the Middle East, send them to do their business and our bidding in the, you know, on the coastal areas of Iran, clear out some of the the missiles, clear out the mines, clear out some of their oil islands, and destroy their infrastructure. Whatever the mission task is going to be, that option does exist. there’s another option that Iran starts uncovering the enriched nuclear material and Israel looks at this and says look you know Trump if if you’re not doing this we’re we’re we’re going to get them uh we can’t allow them to hide away the nuclear-enriched material again bang bombing mission next night.'”
“So you really don’t know what could happen here. Um what we do know is that this situation is still tense but the fact that it’s tense doesn’t mean it’s over. or it might extend itself out over an exterior ex extended period of time. That’s not optimal. It’s not what we wanted, but it is a possibility.”
“And Mati, if Iran really believes that the only way to survive is to reach nuclear capabilities, does any agreement that does not disarm the revolutionary guard’s decision-making mechanism only delay the next bomb, but not stop it?”
“Look, I I want to play play devil’s advocate here for a second. Let’s get into Iran’s hat. Let’s put on their turban, put on the dress. Let’s think from IRGC perspective right now. If you’re a dictatorship in the Middle East and you work against the US, who’s your enemy, and you want to keep doing the bad deeds that you do, creating proxies, fighting wars, harming the innocent, one of your best insuranceances, one of your best guarantees of remaining in power is going for a nuclear bomb. I know this sounds bizarre to Western ears. Why would you need a bomb if you want to remain in power? Well, you want an example? I’ll give you two. North Korea, how is Kim Jong-un still in power? Ask yourself that question. Do have they done anything substantial financially or on a military level to prevent his decapitation, his removal from power? No. What they have is they have the threat of nuclear ability. Yes, there’s a military threat against southern Korea, etc. But the the main thing here is is the nuclear. Uh he’s he’s a huge menace to the world, by the way, both on a financial level on and in the the the drugs, the violence that they spread. There’s a whole bunch of things there. He remains in power because there’s a deterrence. Not only that, he looked at what happened in Iran and he said, ‘You know what? We’re going to change the laws in North Korea. You might not know this at home. And now the law in North Korea says that if suddenly in a freak accident that might or might not be related to a foreign intelligence agency or or he suddenly finds his early death, well that they automatically start launching nuclear bombs. Whether or not they do that, that’s up to them. But you know that that’s the kind of insurance policy you want if you’re a dictator. You want the flip side of that? Think of the former and deceased head of Iraq, Saddam Hussein, a dictator, a strong man of the Arab world. Uh he was the lion of the Arab world. I mean, a man people didn’t dare touch because of his army, because of his numbers, because of the cash that he had from oil. Uh and he had a nuclear program he was working on. uh Israel removed uh the the beginning of that, the beginning of the reactor construction, set them back, and then a bunch of things happened historically that prevented him from from rebuilding it. Uh and then he lost power. You know who also that happened to Muhammad Gaddafi, the dictator, the now deceased dictator of Libya. Uh he was the strong man of the Arab world. And the West told him, Muhammad, you’re our pal. You just give up that that nuclear aspiration. give up the plans you’ve been buying, the weapons you’ve been purchasing, uh the the foreign engineers you’ve been buying out to build your nuclear bomb. Give it up. We’ll be best buddies. Well, guess what? The minute he showed weakness, they were no longer buddies. And all the Western spe special forces came in to aid his people in the revolution against him, testing out their new weapons. This is true. Go check me. Uh checking out testing out their new weapons, getting some battle experience for all the units. is back put a few years a few years back when uh many armies were not actually fighting any active wars and Gaddafi was gone and no one stood up to protect him or anything like that and Iran looks at that and says well you know what well since we don’t have a patron such as the US who can fight our wars and we’re against them actually a nuclear bomb is something we’re going to go for and we want to make sure that we have the nuclear-enriched material so we can keep threatening other people so yes in the most simplified terms the nuclear material The nuclear plan is a go no-go for the Iranians. They will they’ll say we will go to war again. They’ll say we will not sign an agreement until well until you just give us some enriched uranium. We promise we’re enriching it just for scientific purposes, not for a bomb. Just give us some enriched uranium. But it’s complicated to understand it from their perspective. But they’re not playing the democratic game. They’re not playing the western game. They’re not playing the the freedom game, the Judeo-Christian game. They’re playing the game of terrorism, the game of dictatorship. And that game has different rules in which a nuclear bomb is a an insurance policy that is amazing for the dictators.”
“Where is the real Israeli dilemma now? To support an American agreement that could calm the region or to feel that it will give Iran time, money, and oxygen to rebuild its accesses around us? Is that the dilemma?”
“Okay, this is interesting. The US and Israel don’t exactly always align on their interests. If you ask yourself the question of who needs an agreement more, the US or Israel, you’d be surprised by the answer. Uh Israel wants an agreement, but we only want a kind of agreement that would be good for us. If it’s another weak agreement such as happened, uh well, in several different governments, uh in the US, several different pacts, uh several different treaties with Iran. Uh if it’s another weak agreement, we’re not going to be happy with it. It doesn’t really help us. For the Trump White House, having an agreement that for now, for the next year or two, three, four, stops the war with Iran, that’s a win. For Israel, that’s not necessarily a win for us.”
“The current state of events with Iran, it’s not the end of the world. We’ve taken away much of their capability. We’ve reduced their enriched uranium stockpiles. Uh we’ve reduced many of their buildings to a pile of rubble. We’ve eliminated their leadership. Let’s keep weakening them. It plays at our benefit. We’re we’re not exactly aligned on this issue. So for Israel, having an agreement is not enough. Having a ceasefire and opening the street of Humuz is nice, but it doesn’t really do what we need. We need to make sure that Iran doesn’t have a nuclear bomb. We need to make sure that Iran doesn’t have ballistic missiles that can rain down on Israel with nuclear bombs in them or without nuclear bombs in them. And whatever gets us there, whatever maintains that situation, whatever slows down their programs, that’s good for us. And it’s as simple as that. Trump needs an agreement.”
“I I need to be clear here. Politically, he needs an agreement for the uh region of uh the Gulf States who rely on him to reach an agreement. He needs that. He needs that for the US posture in the world. Israel is not exactly aligned with that. Israel needs a weak Iran Ayatollah regime. That’s what we need. Uh, and we’ve shown in the past that we’re willing to fight the war also without the US as long as it promotes that interest of of stopping, blocking, and delaying their nuclear capabilities. That’s the reality. It might be uncomfortable. It might be a little complicated to follow, but it’s a little more complex than just yes, agreement, no agreement. We’d love to have an agreement, both Israel and the US, but the US needs it more than Israel. We need to make sure that Iran is weak. It doesn’t have nuclear weapons. That’s our biggest concern right now.”
“Thank you very much, Matthew Shashani. that definitely helped us better understand what we are dealing with. And to all of you, continue spreading the truth. We are here at TBN Israel to report and share what’s happening in Israel from Israel so that you will know how to pray for the situation.”
“Now, let’s get back to the news. Much once again did not appear before the Iranian people. Instead of a live speech, instead of a new image, instead of a clear voice from the man that is now running Iran, a letter was read in his name at an official ceremony. And in that letter he sent a sharp message to his own citizens.”
“Any frustration, any despair, any pessimism is assistance to the enemy. The question is this. Why does a leader who declares a final victory over the west needs to warn his own public against despair? What do you think about that? Let me know in the comments because that is starting point for understanding this morning.”
“Hame, who has not been seen or heard in his own voice since the war began on February 28th, continues to run Iran from hiding. Iranian media read statements in his name. His pictures are carried in the streets and official ceremonies. They speak about him as if he’s everywhere, but in reality, he’s not appearing before the public. In his latest letter, he claimed that the enemy was defeated on the battlefield and now he’s trying to create internal divisions inside Iran.”
“He said that Iran astonished the world, spoke about victory over the west and also made clear that the Iran will demand compensation for the damages of the war and for the blood of the martyrs. But inside that same message, there was a more important hint, a new phase around the naval blockade in the straight of Hormuz. This is where the statement from Thran connects to what is actually happening at sea, in the air, and inside the negotiation rooms. Iran talks about victory, but its economic its economy is eroding quickly.”
“The Iranian real is approaching a new low of around 2 million reals to the dollar. Since the beginning of the campaign, it has lost about a quarter of its value. The Iranian central bank issues a already that they’re already speaking about projected inflation of more than 50%. Economists inside Iran warned that the real the real number is even higher than that and at one point the inflation already reached around 60 to 70%.”
“So in simple terms, the regime is threatening outwardly, but inside Iran, prices are rising, incomes are shrinking, the public pressure is approaching a sensitive point. And one senior Iranian economist warned that around 4 million citizens could fall into poverty because of the war and the economic collapse. That’s almost 5% of the country’s population. This is why Thran is now demanding money.”
“In the negotiations with the United States, Iran is demanding immediate financial compensation of about $12 billion, already in the first stage of the agreement. From Tehran’s point of view, without fast money, it has no way to stabilize the economy and show the public that the war was worth it. Washington refuses to transfer money directly to the regime.”
“And Trump does not want to look like someone paying Iran while it continues to threaten the Gulf, operate proxies, and hold a stockpile of enriched uranium. And that is why the Americans are examining alternatives. They’re releasing funds though through other countries through proxy and through cryptocurrencies. humanitarian use only for medicine, food, and for agriculture allegedly, and even a regional investment fund that would be financed by Gulf States after a final agreement.”
“But as long as the money is not released, the pressure continues. In Qatar alone, about $ 24 billion in Iranian funds are being held, and they can only be released with American approval. At the same time, the United States has marked dozens of Iranian tankers carrying around 60 million barrels of oil worth about $6 billion. The American message is clear. Anyone who unloads that oil risks sanctions.”
“The damage to Iran’s oil sector is estimated at around half a billion dollars per month. And that brings us back to the straits. Iran wants to use Hummus as its main card. But even there, the picture is more complicated than Tehran presents. Despite the threats, dozens of oil and gas tankers continue to pass through the straight of Hus.”
“Some are using evasive methods, including turning off the navigation systems in order to keep moving. The Americans are allowing the Gulf States to maintain the flow of global energy while at the same time increasing the pressure on Iranian exports themselves. The United States Central Command has already announced the disabling of one Iranian tanker and the turning back of more than 120 vessels.”
“According to the assessments passed, the Gulf States, this pressure can continue for at least three more months. At the same time, the Gulf States are already planning for the day after Homus. Saudi Arabia is operating its east west pipeline at full capacity at around 7 million barrels a day compared with around 2 million before the war. The United Arab Emirates is moving parts of its exports through Fujira outside the straight of Hmu.”
