“The world has perhaps lived through some of its most dangerous hours in recent years, but nobody has noticed. On one hand, the United States had completed all its preparations to launch a large-scale military operation against Iran. The bombing plans were on the table, the soldiers’ leave had been canceled, and the Pentagon was just waiting for the order.”
“On the other hand, Iran had sworn revenge and was being accused of an assassination plot aimed directly at the family of the President of the United States. In other words, the situation was clear. This was not a diplomatic crisis, it was the brink of war. But at that precise moment something unexpected happened.”
“The missiles didn’t take off, the bombs didn’t fall. Instead, a mysterious leak from inside Iran upset all the balances, a peace agreement. So, was this really peace, or one of the greatest strategic deceptions in history? Because what is being discussed at this moment is not just an agreement. This is a breaking point that could rewrite the future of the Middle East.”
“The US military was placed on high alert as the final details of a historic and astonishing peace treaty were being worked out behind closed doors. Just hours after intelligence uncovered a desperate Iranian plot to assassinate members of the president’s family in revenge for their fallen commander, the White House abruptly canceled military furloughs and prepared for an imminent campaign of massive bombings.”
“But instead of bombs falling, a shocking peace proposal leaked from within the regime, that is, the Iranian regime. Iran is reportedly willing to hand over its highly enriched nuclear stockpile and open the Strait of Hormus. However, critics within the United States warn that this is a trap. So today let’s look at what exactly this new agreement is about, why the Iranians are celebrating, and why people inside the United States are actually warning about the peace.”
“Let’s start with how this weekend began, because Washington was screaming that something was about to happen before any of these peace terms were made public. First, President Trump skipped a family wedding to stay at the White House. People began to wonder what this meant. Then there was a report from CEBS News that Memorial Weekend leave for US troops had been canceled.”
“The United States was probably preparing for military action. There were also reports from the Pentagon that attack packages were being prepared to give the president more options in case there was no agreement. And then on Friday, news broke that Iran had been actively trying to assassinate members of Trump’s family. This was in retaliation for Qassem Soleimani, the Iranian commander whom Trump killed in 2019. Listen to this report.”
“Trump was allegedly the target of an assassination plot by a terrorist suspected of being a member of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. The trained Iraqi citizen, arrested last week, allegedly vowed to kill Ivanca and had a floor plan of her house in Florida. This was in response to the assassination of Iranian military chief Kassem Soleimani.”
“A source who spoke with the New York Post claims the suspect said the following: I quote, ‘We need to kill Ivanca to burn down Trump’s house the way he burned down our house.’ According to the Justice Department, the terrorism suspect has been behind attacks against multiple American and Jewish targets. He was arrested and brought to the United States to face multiple terrorism-related charges, and one person is dead.”
“So that’s the background. The world was bracing for new attacks. Instead, on Saturday, that is, yesterday, three Iranian officials basically confirmed that there is an agreement that no one expects. And the details of this agreement, well, no one has confirmed them either. Now, the first thing we need to understand before we get into all these details is that every detail we hear is coming from Iran.”
“This is important because Iran wants to control the narrative, and the White House is kind of enabling it because we’re not hearing absolutely anything from the White House. So when you hear all these terms, remember, Iran has a history of lying, and they lie a lot. But the point is, I would have just ignored this.”
“In fact, I ignore a lot of the things that Iranian media outlets publish, but this time former cabinet officials, sitting senators, and other politicians are speaking publicly about this agreement. So this leak definitely has some basis. We don’t know if it’s the whole story or just part of it, but first let’s look at the conditions and then we’ll talk about what they mean.”
“But still, let’s get into the details. First of all, President Trump himself confirmed that negotiations were taking place. On Truth Social, he said that he had spoken with almost every leader in the Middle East and that a deal pending its final form between the United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran had been largely negotiated.”
“Now, this is something that could be significant. Trump has never before referred to Iran as the Islamic Republic of Iran. He usually called them a terrorist regime or the Iranian regime, but this time he seems to be using slightly more formal language, so maybe there’s a deal close, or maybe I’m just overthinking it.”
“I have a habit of doing that, but anyway, this is the first time Trump has used official language for Iran. That’s why I thought that it was worth noting. Then, after this statement, both the New York Times and the Wall Street Journal confirmed that Gulf leaders, more specifically leaders from Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the IAU, were pressuring Washington to sign some kind of agreement because they didn’t want the war to resume.”
“The Gulf had recently suffered two months of intercepted missiles, drone attacks on its nuclear facilities, and, of course, fires to its oil infrastructure. That’s why they want to stop this bleeding and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Let’s get into the details of this agreement they’re pushing for. Here are the details. Take a look.”
“According to three Iranian officials, Iran accepted a memorandum of understanding that would halt all hostilities, including in Lebanon, and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. In return, the US naval blockade would be lifted, and commercial traffic would flow freely. Iran also agreed not to charge transit fees, and most importantly, the nuclear issue—which is the whole reason this war started—would be postponed until follow-up negotiations to take place within 30 to 60 days.”
“following the signing of this memorandum of understanding. And on top of all this, Iran says it will receive $25 billion in frozen Iranian assets to be released to the Islamic Republic after this agreement. These are the conditions Iran says the agreement includes. And if this is true, it will be quite embarrassing, because think about it, the only thing Iran is really giving up is the Strait of Hormuz.”
“They will reopen the strait and stop their terrorist attacks. And in return, Iran gets sanctions relief. It also gets $25 billion. And the best part is, they don’t really have to negotiate any nuclear issues at the moment. Now, of course, this is coming from Iran, so it doesn’t mean much, but the important thing here is that Iranian officials started celebrating very quickly and very publicly.”
“Take a look. The spokesman for the Iranian Foreign Ministry released this statement, and this was actually the only statement we had on Saturday from an official. The post says, ‘In the Roman mindset, Rome was the center undisputed leader in the world. However, the Iranians shattered that illusion when Marcus Julius Philippus marched east against Persia.'”
“The campaign did not result in a victory for Rome. It ended with a peace established under the terms of the Asanids. The emperor had to accept that. I suppose this was his indirect way of saying that he is getting closer to a peace agreement, but here’s the interesting part. The image speaks of something completely different, while the image actually deals with a war that took place in 2060 AD.”
“The text deals with a war that took place approximately 16 years before that one. Now, this is important because while the image speaks of the defeat of Iran’s enemy, the text only speaks of a negotiated solution. So Iran is sending mixed messages, basically saying they won the war, when in reality nothing could be further from the truth.”
“But before we go into more details that we have received from the US side, let’s see how some people reacted to this. Take a look at Mike Pompeo. He is the former Secretary of State. He clearly stated that if these conditions are real, the United States should restart the war immediately.”
“It makes no sense to give up everything the United States has achieved so far. Then there was Senator Roger Wickers, Senator for Armed Services, who called this agreement a disaster that would undo everything achieved during Operation Epic Fury. Then Senator Lindsey Gram said the same thing, and Senator Ted Cruz echoed the same message.”
“There are two things to keep in mind here. This is the main reason why I’m sharing these details from Iran with you, because this could actually be Iranian propaganda, but here in the United States we have some high-ranking officials who take this agreement very seriously and may be trying to publicly pressure the administration not to agree to something like this.”
“And the second point to consider here is that it is likely that all these senators and other former officials do not have the real details. They are based on the same reports that you had. They act based on the same news that you and I see. Therefore, it is very likely that the actual details are very different from what we read, but I thought it was important to share it.”
“Now, after I started recording this video, more details actually emerged from the US side. Take a look. Someone from the White House, in fact, spoke anonymously to the New York Times, which was the first media outlet to publish Iran’s terms in this agreement. According to this report, two US officials confirmed that one element of the proposed agreement is Iran’s apparent commitment to give up its stockpile of highly enriched uranium.”
“The official said the proposal did not specify exactly how Iran would give it up. but that the details would be postponed to follow-up talks later. But reportedly, the general written commitment that Iran agrees to deliver the uranium is in the framework. Now, it’s easy to guess why the Iranians don’t want this detail to be made public.”
“Because the last time they were about to accept something similar, which I think was a month ago, there were literally protests in Teerán led by pro-forces and supporters. from the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, GC, R and I. These people who support the regime did not want Iran to give up uranium. Therefore, it makes sense that if they agree to something like that, they would want to keep it a secret.”
“But that’s pretty much the whole story. So, that’s the whole story. Iran publicly states that the uranium issue is something they will discuss later. However, US officials say Iran has already committed to giving up uranium. Now, of course, both things cannot be true at the same time. Someone has to be lying, and depending on who is lying, this could have some important implications.”
“If Iran is lying just to appear stronger to its domestic audience, well, that’s manageable and probably not something the United States cares about. The agreement will probably work, but if U.S. officials try to sell a deal that isn’t as solid as they claim, it will have some major implications, not just domestically, because the midterm elections are coming up, but also internationally, because many allies who depend on the United States will likely find themselves embroiled in heated debates about what the United States is doing right now.”
“And as if all this wasn’t bad and confusing enough, we also have a statement from Pakistan from the Pakistani Prime Minister. And this statement basically says, ‘Look, so far there’s no agreement, and it’s important to remember that Pakistan is the primary mediator between Iran and the United States.'”
“And there are a lot of people criticizing Pakistan for failing as a mediator. But remember, folks, mediation is a very difficult job. The United States tried to mediate a peace agreement between Ukraine and Russia, and we didn’t get anywhere. So, even if Pakistan fails to ensure these negotiations are successful, this is something that was expected.”
“The only thing the United States doesn’t want is for Pakistan to act as an Iranian proxy, like Oman did before this war started. That would be a worse situation than if Pakistan failed in the negotiations, but still, let’s take a look at this statement. I commend President Trump for his extraordinary efforts to secure peace and for conducting a very useful and productive phone call today.”
“Field Marshal Sayed Asim Munir represented Pakistan at the meeting and greatly appreciated his tireless efforts. The talks provided a useful opportunity to exchange views on the current regional situation and to assess how to advance the ongoing peace efforts to establish lasting peace in the region.”
“Pakistan will continue its peace efforts with great sincerity and looks forward to hosting the next round of negotiations very soon. When I read a statement like this, and of course other statements that Pakistan has made before, I sometimes get the feeling that Pakistan is more focused on holding some kind of peace talks in Islamabad, probably because they love all this attention.”
“The last time we had a peace talk or a peace meeting in Islamabad, everyone was watching the city. That’s why they really want this to happen again. But nonetheless, it’s not that important as long as they succeed. Now, to understand why Iran is behaving the way it is right now, we need to go back and see how Iran got to the position it’s in today.”
“This doesn’t just mean going back to 1979 when the Islamic Revolution took place. In fact, we need to go back to the time when the Qajar dynasty ruled Iran in the 19th century and see how the decisions made by the ruling class back then continue to affect Iran to this day. Today. However, the events of the last 24 hours reveal that this so-called peace process is far more complex and dangerous than it appears, because while diplomacy advances on the stage, the reality on the ground tells a completely different story.”
“First, on the American side, the most critical development was that military preparations were not withdrawn. According to Pentagon sources, US warships and air assets stationed in the Gulf remain on high alert. In other words, even as Washington speaks of the possibility of an agreement, it is actively keeping the war scenario prepared.”
“This alone is a significant sign. The United States does not trust Iran. On the Iranian side, the situation is even more contradictory. While Iran continues to project victory to the public, no concrete evidence has emerged that its deputized elements in the region have completely withdrawn.”
“On the contrary, there are reports of new intelligence indicating that low-intensity threats continue along the lines of Iraq and Syria. That is to say, while Iran speaks of peace on the one hand, it continues to maintain its pressure tactics on the Table for the other. One of the most critical sticking points is the Strait of Hormuz.”
“Although Iran claims to be willing to open the strait, international energy and shipping companies still don’t trust these statements. Insurance costs remain high. Some tankers are still changing their routes, and this is the message from the markets. The risk is not yet over. In Washington, this process has now become an open political war.”
“While senior officials describe the agreement as a surrender, some circles argue that this will only buy Iran time. This situation shows that there is no common strategy, even within the United States. And perhaps the most critical detail is hidden here. If this is truly a peace agreement, why is everyone still acting as if there is going to be a war? Because what is actually happening is not a peace process.”
“This is a strategic waiting game in which both sides are trying to buy time and reposition their forces. Iran wants to break the economic pressure. The United States, for its part, wants to reduce tension without losing control. But this balance is extremely fragile, and history has shown us this time and again. Such fragile balances rarely end in peace, but rather in a sudden rupture.”
“That’s why the coming days are critical, because this process will either initiate a new equilibrium in the Middle East, or the world, having missed an opportunity for peace, will awaken to a much larger conflict.”
